Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.609250 4.031005 4.489034 5.024509 5.634734 6.310073 7.116248
2025-02-23 3.021334 3.589877 4.252826 5.087268 6.115528 7.348866 8.951713
2025-03-02 2.559435 3.179805 3.941549 4.954140 6.277489 7.965613 10.310039
2025-03-09 2.259341 2.909119 3.740922 4.897080 6.483434 8.614482 11.746519
2025-03-16 2.025867 2.687825 3.565503 4.832678 6.645823 9.193896 13.131193
2025-03-23 1.920778 2.621046 3.580772 5.017461 7.157771 10.300463 15.402200
2025-03-30 1.773878 2.478765 3.472346 5.006515 7.373112 10.983666 17.106104
2025-04-06 1.639743 2.340508 3.353511 4.962130 7.523726 11.571919 18.720672
2025-04-13 1.466169 2.129101 3.107281 4.696672 7.294893 11.523011 19.248146
2025-04-20 1.382222 2.044567 3.043673 4.707874 7.507173 12.211242 21.136232
2025-04-27 1.327628 1.999886 3.036330 4.805963 7.869109 13.186566 23.671438
2025-05-04 1.277108 1.957074 3.027270 4.898054 8.226389 14.188348 26.393855
2025-05-11 1.220818 1.902625 2.997782 4.957426 8.540712 15.165219 29.254530
2025-05-18 1.166982 1.848240 2.964059 5.006106 8.840640 16.151749 32.297966
2025-05-25 1.085679 1.742335 2.835244 4.872924 8.784798 16.438617 33.888165
2025-06-01 1.025061 1.667082 2.753078 4.816456 8.868030 17.008311 36.188411
2025-06-08 0.968630 1.595195 2.671399 4.753177 8.929897 17.538355 38.479522
2025-06-15 0.954125 1.595220 2.716921 4.934442 9.502020 19.215705 43.799632
2025-06-22 0.912447 1.544197 2.666160 4.923700 9.674527 20.041380 47.153851
2025-06-29 0.869372 1.487940 2.601790 4.880156 9.772047 20.708637 50.216474
2025-07-06 0.800711 1.381138 2.436382 4.619713 9.373798 20.184827 50.003835
2025-07-13 0.771772 1.346060 2.404529 4.630704 9.576857 21.104793 53.937029
2025-07-20 0.755084 1.332786 2.413408 4.726944 9.981558 22.563613 59.692664